Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 3.616479 4.322872 5.111211 6.053369 7.145722 8.369243 9.840208
2025-08-10 2.442863 3.297157 4.352888 5.742093 7.509160 9.667836 12.488696
2025-08-17 1.767492 2.646048 3.828923 5.513515 7.821836 10.840700 15.047431
2025-08-24 1.387814 2.272277 3.553451 5.502882 8.342450 12.266247 18.020654
2025-08-31 1.124583 1.996219 3.343897 5.517103 8.854145 13.686543 21.084496
2025-09-07 0.912232 1.747332 3.119427 5.453154 9.212013 14.888061 23.914041
2025-09-14 0.714859 1.477325 2.807552 5.190580 9.209096 15.523441 25.929645
2025-09-21 0.597876 1.323577 2.659645 5.165616 9.564427 16.718253 28.874661
2025-09-28 0.503508 1.191342 2.524640 5.136449 9.896386 17.888295 31.856790
2025-10-05 0.467615 1.169391 2.588751 5.469472 10.881169 20.202543 36.864141
2025-10-12 0.418785 1.108994 2.567145 5.635115 11.577346 22.077374 41.268668
2025-10-19 0.383608 1.071623 2.584994 5.876092 12.430099 24.281494 46.380622
2025-10-26 0.329860 0.980240 2.478573 5.861521 12.812546 25.710356 50.301822
2025-11-02 0.269678 0.858044 2.283884 5.636555 12.760400 26.346786 52.867860
2025-11-09 0.221494 0.754471 2.112323 5.434377 12.726179 27.004481 55.509332
2025-11-16 0.192060 0.695348 2.035617 5.430701 13.096055 28.451143 59.701988
2025-11-23 0.167859 0.645117 1.971840 5.446815 13.506413 30.002815 64.191566
2025-11-30 0.143828 0.588454 1.880823 5.384199 13.735769 31.207329 68.086584
2025-12-07 0.116359 0.511544 1.719912 5.124745 13.493779 31.430912 70.065365
2025-12-14 0.100924 0.471779 1.655371 5.100113 13.785234 32.775275 74.361209
2025-12-21 0.087528 0.435153 1.592830 5.071289 14.062088 34.105783 78.708849
2025-12-28 0.084969 0.440556 1.659329 5.400597 15.232409 37.435476 87.371157
2026-01-04 0.078425 0.427582 1.665908 5.564401 16.010719 39.959648 94.492153